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by Gregory Rodban

   Somebody said that "demography is destiny."

Let's face it. There is a problem in the Land of Israel. It's a demographic problem. It does not benefit the Jewish people to pretend that it does not exist or that it will somehow dissipate in the future. The fact is that Arabs constitute 40% of the population west of the Jordan River and this ratio is bound to increase in their favor in the future if nothing is done to stem the tide. The picture within the security fence is better, but continues to be an issue.

Moreover, is it not even a bigger demographic problem that Arabs constitute roughly 28% of all Israeli newborns, according to the official data by the Israeli Bureau of Statistics for 2007? It's true that there seems to be an improvement in demographic trends in favor of the Jews. But in 20 or 25 years from now that will not significantly alter the situation, nor spare Israel from this demographic nightmare.

Somebody said that "demography is destiny." Urgent measures are necessary to deal with this problem. No time should be wasted. The Jewish character of Israel is in danger and no sugarcoating can hide this reality.

Being the civilized people we are, and taking into account the international environment today, we can't simply expel the Arabs - as Poles, Russians and Czechs did to more than 12 million Germans after World War II. There is a very small chance that the government of Israel will start treating Arabs in an equal manner in areas of taxation or army conscription, which would presumably force large numbers of Arabs to emigrate as some have suggested. In any case, there is a danger that these measures will not produce desirable results.

Surprisingly, the issue is much more clear cut beyond the pre-1967 borders. There are many signs that significant numbers of Arabs in Judea, Samaria and Gaza want to get out, especially young people. But they are facing incredible difficulties trying to emigrate. What is more incredible is that there is no Israeli effort, covert or overt (covert would be even better) to help them both in terms of logistics (getting visas, transportation arrangement, etc.) and money. It has been reported on Israeli television that up to 80% of Gaza's residents are considering emigration, and two out of five would leave immediately if they could, according to the Near East Consulting poll. Yet, they face both logistical and financial difficulties in attempts to achieve this goal.

What is needed is a massive effort by a non-governmental organization (let's say, for the sake of an example, the Israel Resettlement Fund) to create all kinds of economic and financial stimuli for young Arabs to emigrate and renounce Israeli citizenship if they have it. This organization should concentrate on young Arabs of childbearing age, both males and females.

As far as Israeli Arabs are concerned, the scheme should be more elaborate and therefore more complicated. I doubt that Israeli Arabs have much desire to leave Israel for any Arab country, but the right combination of inducements can produce some effect. Even a 20% reduction in the Israeli Arab childbearing population would be a great achievement.

Some cooperation of certain elements in Arab countries would be quite beneficial for the project. The fact that Prince Hassan of Jordan discussed with Benny Elon his Right Road to Peace ( plan shows, in my opinion, that it is possible to find partners in Arab countries, especially Jordan. They will talk behind closed doors and they will cooperate under favorable conditions.

The operation could go like this. A neighborhood is built somewhere in eastern Jordan, complete with social and other essential infrastructure, next to a business park that will provide jobs for the residents. Israel has rich experience in building new towns in the desert from scratch. Then, we approach some impoverished young Arab families in Israel (which coincidentally may have lots of children) and offer them a brand new, contemporary house equipped with all modern facilities, plus the guarantee of a job at a nearby business park, in exchange for leaving Israel, surrendering Israeli citizenship and giving up their current house for some extra monetary compensation. The prospects of a long and arduous project should not scare us.

Sure, many will reject this offer, but there will be some who will take it. There are many unemployed young Arab couples with children in Israel.

A project of this magnitude will require substantial initial financing and an organizational effort on a large scale. It may also take a lot of time, but we should remember that it took 51 years from the First Zionist Congress to the establishment of Israel and we have 3,500 years of history behind us. The prospects of a long and arduous project should not scare us.

In addition, as Arabs start to leave, real estate prices in those areas they vacate will start to rise. Houses left by Arabs in the hands of the Fund could later be sold for a substantial markup, helping recoup some, and possibly most, of the costs associated with this project.

I am calling on wealthy individuals for whom the fate of Israel as a Jewish state is dear to organize and act now.

EDITOR'S NOTE: When this article was posted on IsraPundit (, one readers summed the rebuttal points against this plan. If, as he implies, the hostility of the Palestinian Arabs is fueled by the Jihadist Arabs, then we do have a knotty problem, that still needs to be solved, if Israel is to survive. Countering these points, as Rodban points out, polls indicate that a surprising large number of Palestinian Arabs would be willing to leave the territories given a money incentive. But this would be useless if the remaining Arabs bred to fill the vacuum.

#2. This plan arises from the same false assumptions that led to the failures of previous plans:
1) The notion that all communities value economic opportunities over other considerations.

2) Avoiding any discussion of the role Islam plays in the decision-making, attitudes and actions of most Palestinian Arabs.

3) Assuming that Muslims approach problems looking for win-win rather than zero-sum solutions, meaning a solution that advances the interests of both sides would bring Israel peace and security.

4) Not understand the honor-shame paradigm in Muslim Arab family, tribal and community life.

If I thought this plan would work, I would support it. While individual Arabs would gladly take the opportunity to advance themselves economically through emigrating to the West or surreptitiously enriching themselves at the expense of their neighbors, there is no way they would participate in an infidel-Jewish plan to make Israel safer.

The Palestinian Arabs are frontline soldiers in the jihad to destroy Israel as well as a key propaganda tool in the worldwide jihad against all infidels. That is their role, and it would bring shame on themselves, their family and their people to leave any part of Palestine as part of this plan. Anyone seen taking part would be considered an infidel and a collaborator and put both himself and his family in danger of being killed. There is a good chance that person would be killed by his own family for bring shame on the family. This is quite different than going to the Gulf for "temporary" employment or the US to pursue "educational opportunities."

I can't see why Jordan or any Arab country would participate in this plan. The cities built for the Palestinians would find themselves under attack from every terrorist group in the Middle East. Jordan would know that it would be importing a fifth column while enraging Islamists against their regime. Who is going to protect these new communities in Jordan from Al-Qaeda, Hamas and Hezbollah?

Comment by 4infidels — September 11, 2008 @ 1:34 pm

A second reader contributed some interesting population figures. If they are accurate, they do underscore the fact that some 95% of Arab population moved there after 1900 from neighboring lands. Unless you believe that in 1850, the half-million people in what became Mandated Palestine, grew to today's huge number by ordinary increase. Remember also that until recently, their sanitation was poor, infant mortality was high and they managed to knock off a lot of people fighting with other local clans.

#5. In 1922 the population of Palestine consisted of approximately 589,200 Muslims, 83,800 Jews, 71,500 Christians and 7,600 others (1922 census. However, this area gradually saw a large influx of Jewish immigrants (most of whom were fleeing the increasing persecution in Europe). This immigration and accompanying call for a Jewish state in Palestine drew violent opposition from local Arabs, in part because of Zionism's stated goal of a Jewish state, which many Arabs believed would require the subjugation or removal of the existing non-Jewish population.

On 29 November 1947 the United Nations General Assembly approved a plan, UN General Assembly Resolution 181, to resolve the Arab-Jewish conflict by partitioning Palestine into two states, one Jewish and one Arab. Each state would comprise three major sections, linked by extraterritorial crossroads; the Arab state would also have an enclave at Jaffa. With about 32% of the population, the Jews would get 56% of the territory, an area that then contained 499,000 Jews and 438,000 Palestinians, though this included the inhospitable Negev Desert in the south. The Palestinians would get 42% of the land, which then had a population of 818,000 Palestinians and 10,000 Jews. In consideration of its religious significance, the Jerusalem area, including Bethlehem, with 100,000 Jews and an equal number of Palestinians, was to become a Corpus Separatum, to be administered by the UN

In all the furor that has been created in Israel and the world Jewish community over the suggestion by certain "radical" Jews that Israeli Arabs be transferred from the country, there appears to be forgotten the fact that such an action would only be the second part of an ultimate exchange of populations.

The fact is, that with the creation of the Jewish state in 1948, hundreds of thousands of Jews fled Arab countries, almost all of whom left behind all their property for which compensation was never paid. It is worth while to look at the record before we dismiss the concept of the transfer of Arabs from Israel.

A total of some 750,000 Jews fled Arab lands since 1948. Surely it is time for Jews, worried over the huge growth of Arabs in Israel, to consider finishing the exchange of populations that began 61 years ago.

Today the Palestinian population worldwide is estimated to be 10.1 million, with more than half (approximately 5.2 million) living in the diaspora. Today, approximately 5.2 million Palestinians are living in exile (Assimilated in host countries) in many parts of the world. Little statistical data is available, however, about this large diaspora, because no comprehensive census has ever been conducted among them.

Most diaspora Palestinians, moreover, do not carry personal documents that identify them as Palestinians. An initiative by the United Nations in 1982 to issue identification cards to all 1948 and 1967 Palestinian refugees and their descendantsvii failed due to lack of co-operation by host states. In North America and Europe, Palestinian asylum-seekers often "disappear," because they tend to be subsumed under general categories of "stateless" persons or are registered according to their place of birth or the host country that issued their travel documents.

The case of the Palestinian diaspora in Central and South America is special due to the early onset of its formation and its particular demographic composition. Palestinian immigrants to this region were predominantly members of Christian communities who left Palestine during Ottoman rule, mostly from towns and villages in the central West Bank, such as Ramallah, Bethlehem, Beit Sahour, and Beit Jala. Today, large Palestinian communities exist in Chile, Brazil, El Salvador, Honduras, and Peru. In Peru, both candidates for the March 2004 presidential elections were descendants of Palestinians who had emigrated from Bethlehem in 1912 and 1914 respectively.

Palestinian diaspora communities in Australia, Europe, and North America are much younger. Most Palestinians in Europe and the United States, for example, arrived from Arab Gulf states and Lebanon, and some from the occupied West Bank and Gaza Strip. Many Palestinians entered these countries as students and visitors but stayed on and joined the diaspora there.

Add the Arabs willing to emigrate today, that would leave a small number who really wish to say and there are other methods to encourage them to leave but one way or another they will have to go: Either them or us!!!!!

Comment by yamit82 — September 12, 2008 @ 1:01 am


Gregory Rodban is an internet publisher specializing in stock option trading. He is based in Baltimore, Maryland. This article was published September 11, 2008 in Arutz-Sheva


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